The Falcons could also be seeking to transfer on from their longtime No. 1 broad receiver, Julio Jones.
According to Jeff Schultz of The Athletic, the Falcons “wish to commerce” the veteran receiver this offseason. As Schultz identified, that does not imply that it should occur, but when Atlanta is, in actual fact, seeking to transfer Jones, there will probably be some which have an curiosity in buying Jones.
Jones had a down yr in 2020, recording 51 catches, 771 yards and three touchdowns whereas taking part in simply 9 video games due to a nagging hamstring harm. But in his earlier six seasons, he had recorded not less than 1,394 receiving yards and led the league in receiving yards twice.
And throughout his decade-long profession, the previous No. 6 general choose within the 2011 NFL Draft has averaged 95.5 receiving yards per recreation, essentially the most of any participant in NFL historical past.
Jones certainly is an efficient participant, however simply how a lot would a crew be prepared to surrender for the 32-year-old? To reply that query, it is essential to look again on the trades for Stefon Diggs, DeAndre Hopkins and Odell Beckham Jr. in latest years to see what Jones’ worth on the commerce market is perhaps.
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How a lot would a Julio Jones commerce value?
When trying on the beneath receivers in comparison with Jones, there’s one factor that clearly stands out that may have a huge impact on any potential commerce: Jones is considerably older than Diggs, Hopkins or Beckham on the time they had been dealt.
All three of the latest No. 1 receivers that had been traded had been all 27 years previous or youthful. Jones is 32, so any crew attempting to accumulate him must be able to win now. He would not be a long-term acquisition for any membership. As such, that will drive down his worth a bit, particularly while you add in Jones’ hamstring harm from final yr and his career-long historical past with nagging lower-body points.
A deal comparable in framework to the Hopkins one would most likely be what Jones would fetch in the marketplace. That’s why a commerce just like the one proposed by PFF beneath could be a smart one.
If Atlanta is hell-bent on touchdown a first-round choose, they might attempt to swap Jones for a first-round choose straight up. Or, they might purchase a primary whereas giving up Jones and a late-Day 3 choose. Either manner, they’d have choices that will seemingly both be centered on a first-round choose or two Day 2 picks.
Odell Beckham Jr. commerce particulars
- WR Odell Beckham Jr.
- DE Olivier Vernon
- OG Kevin Zeitler
- S Jabrill Peppers
- 2019 first-round choose
- 2019 third-round choose
Just forward of free company in 2019, the Browns swung a blockbuster take care of the Giants to accumulate Beckham Jr. At the time, Beckham, 26, was coming off a season the place he posted 77 catches, 1,052 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns in 12 video games for the Giants. And by 5 seasons, he was averaging 106 catches, 1,485 receiving yards and 12 TDs per 16 video games performed.
To purchase Beckham, the Browns did should give up fairly a bit. Peppers was one in all their first-round picks in 2017 whereas Zeitler had began 32 consecutive video games for them and performed at a excessive degree. But Beckham was a borderline All-Pro and the Browns wanted a real No. 1 receiver to pair with Jarvis Landry, who could be very shut associates with Beckham from their time collectively at LSU.
As such, the deal did make sense and getting Vernon as a throw-in was a pleasant worth for Cleveland.
Jones had comparable manufacturing to Beckham in his first 5 seasons, and the 2 did have some minor harm considerations throughout the early phases of their careers as properly. So, the deal is related from that perspective.
DeAndre Hopkins commerce particulars
- WR DeAndre Hopkins
- 2020 fourth-round choose
- RB David Johnson
- 2020 second-round choose
- 2021 fourth-round choose
The Hopkins commerce stands out as the worst in NFL historical past and it is a huge a part of the rationale that Bill O’Brien will nearly definitely by no means be given management over an NFL roster ever once more.
What O’Brien received in alternate for Hopkins, top-of-the-line receivers within the NFL, was pitiful. At the time of the commerce, Hopkins, 27, had made three consecutive All-Pro first groups. He had solely missed two of a potential 112 profession video games and was averaging 90.3 catches, 1,228.9 receiving yards and seven.7 touchdowns per yr in Houston.
Hopkins is dynamic, quick, makes contested catches and was the favourite goal of Deshaun Watson. What did the Texans get again for him? A working again who totaled 691 dashing yards and 6 TDs for them in 2020, a second-round choose that they spent on defensive deal with Ross Blacklock and a swap of fourth-round picks. Relatively talking, that is peanuts — or on the very least, a extreme low cost.
The Falcons could should take a similarly-discounted deal in the event that they do commerce Jones due to his age and contract standing. That mentioned, they need to nonetheless have an opportunity to land a greater bundle than what the Texans received in return from Hopkins. If they can not get that, then it will not be value buying and selling him in any respect.
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Stefon Diggs commerce particulars
- WR Stefon Diggs
- 2020 seventh-round choose
- 2020 first-round choose
- 2020 fifth-round choose
- 2020 sixth-round choose
- 2021 seventh-round choose
The Bills wished a real No. 1 receiver for his or her offense and had been prepared to pay the lofty worth wanted to accumulate Diggs. At first, this appeared like rather a lot to pay for the previous Vikings wide-out, however on the time of the deal, he was 26 years previous and was coming off back-to-back seasons with not less than 1,000 receiving yards.
In Buffalo, Diggs become a real high receiver and posted career-best marks in catches (127) and receiving yards (1,535). He led the league in each classes for the 2020 season.
Meanwhile, the Vikings took a danger getting no confirmed gamers again for Diggs, however they hit the jackpot with Buffalo’s first-round choose (twenty second general). They chosen LSU receiver Justin Jefferson who greater than changed Diggs of their offense. Jefferson racked up 1,400 receiving yards as a rookie and would’ve received Offensive Rookie of the Year if not for a stellar effort from Justin Herbert.
If the Falcons are on the lookout for a draft-capital-based bundle, this is able to be the best-case state of affairs for them. They would not seemingly land as many picks because the Bills did, but when they will add an inflow of draft expertise, that will not less than give Arthur Smith and Terry Fontenot extra sources with which to information Atlanta by a mini-rebuild.
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Which groups may commerce for Julio Jones?
Because Jones is slated to have a $23 million cap hit in 2021, per Spotrac.com, it will not essentially be straightforward for groups to commerce for him straight up. However, NFL groups transfer cash round to create area for proficient gamers on a regular basis, and there is not any query that groups would do the identical in the event that they felt like Jones may assist them turn out to be Super Bowl contenders.
In no explicit order, listed below are among the groups that might think about focusing on Jones by way of commerce.
Patriots. Bill Belichick and the Patriots have been very aggressive in including to their offense this offseason. They signed Nelson Agholor and Kendrick Bourne in free company however nonetheless want a real No. 1 receiver. Jones would match the invoice.
Ravens. The Ravens signed Sammy Watkins and drafted Rashod Bateman in Round 1 of the 2021 NFL Draft, however they nonetheless may not have a No. 1 receiver. Jones may fill that function till Bateman is able to function the highest man. Baltimore loves Alabama guys, too, so this looks as if a superb match.
Colts. The Colts nonetheless have over $20 million in cap area and will afford so as to add a 3rd receiving weapon to enrich T.Y. Hilton and Michael Pittman Jr.
Chiefs. Imagine if the Chiefs paired Jones with Tyreek Hill and Mecole Hardman. Patrick Mahomes would have a subject day throwing downfield bombs to them. The Chiefs will not be prepared to pay Jones’ wage, but when they’re, it may very well be a match made in heaven.
Raiders. The Raiders wished so as to add velocity to their receiving corps after they chosen Henry Ruggs III within the 2020 NFL Draft. His rookie yr was lackluster. Perhaps including a man like Jones to interchange Agholor and mentor Ruggs, a fellow Alabama product, could be a superb transfer.
Washington. Washington added Curtis Samuel to affix Terry McLaurin within the receiver room this offseason. Adding Jones may give them an elite three-man unit. And you higher consider that Ron Rivera is aware of Jones properly after watching him go up towards the Panthers twice a yr for the primary 9 seasons of Jones’ profession.
Packers. Pairing Jones with Davante Adams may very well be a pleasant olive department to increase to Aaron Rodgers… particularly if 2020 first-round draft choose Jordan Love is included as a part of the commerce bundle for the Falcons.
49ers. Kyle Shanahan coached Jones throughout his time in Atlanta. Reuniting the duo and having Jones pair crew with George Kittle, Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk would give the Trey Lance/Jimmy Garoppolo duo loads of receiving expertise to work with.